Leverage Home Field Advantage
Study statistics to reveal how significantly the home-field advantage impacts different sports matchups. In the NFL, for example, the home field lifts the win probability by 2 to 7 points on average depending on the stadium. In the Canadian NHL, play conditions between 2020-2021 caused by ghost games and other restrictions led to a significant loss of the home advantage.
Mostly, though, a home advantage is more likely to lead to a win by the home team. Knowledge of these edges can inform smart bets, especially when the public tends to underestimate or neglect the home-field advantage for certain contests.
Place your bets to maximize situations when you have the data to recognize when playing at home will matter most.
Bet Against the Public
The general betting public often reacts strongly to recent performances, overvaluing teams on winning streaks and undervaluing teams on losing skids.
Savvy bettors target payouts by going against emotional public perception to place contrarian bets on teams temporarily in the doghouse or fading hot favorites ripe for a comedown. Of course, be careful not to buck trends blindly - use your fan expertise to analyze when public perception diverges most widely from your power rankings on a team’s potential. Time your bets strategically to maximize betting value in the opposite direction of hype trains or meltdowns.
Employ Teasers and Parlay Strategically
Teaser bets and parlay bets linked across multiple games offer tantalizing payouts but very long odds of hitting. The key to factoring these specialized bets into your wagering strategy is using them sparingly and strategically.
Be highly selective in teasing your spread bets across key numbers like 3, 7, or 10. Resist the urge to build giant parlays all at once.
Instead, play smaller 2- or 3-leg parlays with calculated risks on correlations you’ve observed in team performances.
Maybe you parlay moneyline bets on favorites with strong records after bye weeks. Or you parlay spread bets on division rivals with a track record of close games.
Leverage your fan expertise to selectively employ teasers and parlays to spice up payout potential.